Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.059132 0.067035 0.075193 0.084213 0.093876 0.103890 0.115025
2025-04-27 0.044648 0.056041 0.068504 0.083006 0.099278 0.116845 0.137116
2025-05-04 0.037476 0.051167 0.066856 0.085827 0.107830 0.132256 0.161140
2025-05-11 0.030564 0.045334 0.063024 0.085178 0.111622 0.141678 0.177937
2025-05-18 0.026644 0.042465 0.062137 0.087477 0.118414 0.154209 0.198038
2025-05-25 0.023262 0.039777 0.061053 0.089180 0.124212 0.165382 0.216434
2025-06-01 0.018955 0.035260 0.057158 0.086956 0.124889 0.170212 0.227161
2025-06-08 0.015433 0.031358 0.053665 0.084889 0.125463 0.174687 0.237286
2025-06-15 0.013806 0.030035 0.053499 0.087024 0.131225 0.185421 0.254913
2025-06-22 0.012061 0.028290 0.052564 0.087991 0.135398 0.194145 0.270088
2025-06-29 0.011323 0.028081 0.053770 0.091827 0.143277 0.207496 0.290971
2025-07-06 0.009841 0.026405 0.052674 0.092380 0.146786 0.215339 0.305083
2025-07-13 0.009615 0.027054 0.055267 0.098406 0.157970 0.233417 0.332577
2025-07-20 0.007663 0.024247 0.052394 0.096603 0.158713 0.238326 0.343886
2025-07-27 0.006910 0.023629 0.052889 0.099610 0.165942 0.251569 0.365692
2025-08-03 0.005600 0.021604 0.050925 0.098880 0.167984 0.258077 0.379022
2025-08-10 0.004979 0.020956 0.051175 0.101399 0.174485 0.270386 0.399727
2025-08-17 0.004339 0.020125 0.051029 0.103263 0.180050 0.281472 0.418906
2025-08-24 0.003255 0.017881 0.048194 0.100827 0.179432 0.284318 0.427476
2025-08-31 0.002389 0.015880 0.045577 0.098559 0.178925 0.287218 0.436051
2025-09-07 0.002086 0.015459 0.045873 0.100901 0.185033 0.298966 0.456092
2025-09-14 0.001715 0.014680 0.045403 0.101961 0.189265 0.308198 0.472898
2025-09-21 0.001622 0.014866 0.046843 0.106162 0.198117 0.323709 0.497943